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Giants vs. Commanders Preview: Projected Starters, Injury Report and a Chance to Bury the Division

Giants vs. Commanders Preview: Projected Starters, Injury Report and a Chance to Bury the Division. New York Giants, Campanha 5-2-1, 11º na NFL

Giants vs. Commanders: Thursday, November 12

Commanders 2-5-1 at Giants 5-2-1, Thursday Nov. 12, 8:15 PM ET, MetLife Stadium, Prime Video

  • Kickoff: Thursday, Nov. 12, 8:15 PM ET (5:15 PM PT)
  • Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, N.J. It's a White Out night, so wear white.
  • TV/stream: Prime Video
  • Records: Giants 5-2-1 (1st in the NFC East), Commanders 2-5-1
  • Line: Giants by 1.5 to 2.5 depending on the book (opened 1.5); total 42.5

The Giants lead the NFC East by three games over Washington. Win Thursday and that becomes four, with the head-to-head tiebreaker locked up and the Commanders all but eliminated from the division race. It's a big opportunity on a short week.

Unfinished Business: The Week 5 Tie

The first meeting, in Washington, ended 27-27. The Giants trailed late and scored 14 unanswered points over the final 11 minutes of regulation to force overtime. Washington then ran out of time in field-goal range, and nobody won.

The problem that day was Jayden Daniels. He ran for 103 yards and two touchdowns and threw for 199 more. Mobile quarterbacks have been the one consistent weakness of this defense, and Thursday's game plan starts with keeping Daniels in the pocket. The Giants did sack him five times in that game.

How the Giants Got Here

John Harbaugh's first season in New York is going better than almost anyone expected. The Giants came out of their bye and won 19-11 at Philadelphia, their first win in Philadelphia since 2013, and they've covered the spread in six of eight games.

The defense is carrying them:

  • 5th in total defense and 10th in EPA per play under coordinator Dennard Wilson
  • 9 takeaways, including six interceptions, five of them by defensive backs. Safety Jevón Holland has three.
  • Arvell Reese, the rookie linebacker, had 12 tackles and three sacks at Philadelphia and was nominated for Pepsi Rookie of the Week. He's past 65 tackles with 4.5 sacks on the season.

On offense, Malik Nabers was the NFC Offensive Player of the Month for October, with 36 catches for 509 yards and two touchdowns. Cam Skattebo has 418 rushing yards on 98 carries and is back after missing two games with a hamstring injury.

The quarterback situation has been the story. Jaxson Dart is out with a knee injury. J.J. McCarthy is 2-0 as the starter, and his 71.4% completion rate on third down since Week 7 ranks 5th in the NFL. McCarthy left Sunday's game briefly with a hip injury, and Jameis Winston came in and threw the team's only touchdown. McCarthy practiced fully Tuesday, and Harbaugh said he "does look like he's going to play," adding, "I don't want to get out over my skis with it, but it seems good so far."

Projected Starting Lineup

Offense

Pos Projected starter Note
QB J.J. McCarthy Hip; full practice, expected to play
RB Cam Skattebo Hamstring; Harbaugh expects him "full-go"
WR Malik Nabers Knee; full practice
WR Malachi Fields
WR Darnell Mooney Chest; full practice
TE Isaiah Likely Caught a TD vs. the Eagles
LT Andrew Thomas Groin; full practice
LG Jon Runyan Jr.
C Bryan Hudson
RG Francis Mauigoa
RT Jermaine Eluemunor Calf; full practice

Defense

Pos Projected starter Note
DE Darius Alexander
NT DJ Reader
DT Shelby Harris
RUSH Abdul Carter Knee/back; limited Tuesday
ILB Arvell Reese Rookie
ILB Micah McFadden Replaced Tremaine Edmunds (lost in Week 6)
OLB Kayvon Thibodeaux
CB Deonte Banks
CB Greg Newsome II
NB Dru Phillips
S Tyler Nubin
S Jevón Holland Team-high three INTs

Specialists: K Dominic Zvada, P Jordan Stout, LS Ben Mann, and Charlie Jones on both kick and punt returns.

Injury Report

Out

  • QB Jaxson Dart: knee
  • RB Tyrone Tracy Jr.: injured reserve

Questionable

  • RB Cam Skattebo (hamstring): Listed questionable, but he practiced fully Tuesday and is expected to play.
  • TE Thomas Fidone II

Limited Tuesday

  • OLB Abdul Carter: knee/back
  • LB Malik Harrison: groin
  • CB Colton Hood: finger

Full participants Tuesday: QB J.J. McCarthy (hip), WR Malik Nabers (knee), RB Cam Skattebo (hamstring), LT Andrew Thomas (groin), RT Jermaine Eluemunor (calf), TE Theo Johnson (neck), WR Darnell Mooney (chest), WR Charlie Jones (thumb)

Thursday-game practice reports are estimates. Check for inactives about 90 minutes before kickoff.

Keys for the Giants

1. Contain Daniels. He beat this defense with his legs in Week 5. The pass rushers, especially Abdul Carter and Kayvon Thibodeaux, have to keep him inside instead of chasing him past the pocket.

2. Feed Skattebo. Washington is near the bottom of the league against the run, and it's missing starting defensive tackles Daron Payne and Javon Kinlaw. Around 120 rushing yards keeps McCarthy in manageable down-and-distance and keeps Daniels on the sideline.

3. Protect the interior. The Giants have allowed 27 sacks, tied for 27th in the league, and Washington will attack the guards and center. Quick decisions from McCarthy and help from fullback Patrick Ricard matter.

4. Get Nabers going early. Washington is without Terry McLaurin, and its pass defense ranks near the bottom of the league in yards allowed. Washington has also struggled to cover tight ends in the red zone, which is good news for Isaiah Likely.

5. Protect the football. Washington has the more desperate team. A defense that already has nine takeaways can win this game by itself if the offense doesn't give it away.

The Other Sideline

Washington is 2-5-1, winless on the road, and calling this a must-win. The Commanders lost their last two by a combined 13 points. They're missing Terry McLaurin (out for the season), plus Payne, Kinlaw and receiver Dyami Brown, and starting center Lucas Patrick is doubtful with a concussion. But Daniels hasn't thrown an interception all year, and he's exactly the type of quarterback who has hurt this defense. Read Washington's side of this matchup on the Commanders' team page.

Bottom Line

The Giants are healthier, better on defense and at home on a White Out night. The line is tight because Daniels can win a game by himself, and he nearly did in Week 5. Keep him in the pocket, run the ball, and the Giants leave Thursday four games clear in the NFC East with the tiebreaker in hand.

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